3/12 - Gameplan

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1. 📅 Economic News – Key events to watch
2. 📊 Levels & Outlook – ES/NQ bullish & bearish setups

📅 Economic News Overview – March 12

🚨 High-Impact Events (Market Movers):

8:30 AM ET – U.S. CPI (Inflation Data)
- Core CPI m/m: Forecast 0.3% (Prev: 0.4%)
- CPI m/m: Forecast 0.3% (Prev: 0.5%)
- CPI y/y: Forecast 2.9% (Prev: 3.0%)
- Biggest market mover – High inflation = bearish, weak CPI = bullish
9:45 AM ET – BOC Rate Decision
- Overnight Rate: Forecast 2.75% (Prev: 3.00%)
- Bank of Canada rate decision may shake CAD pairs, but U.S. CPI is the key focus.

📊 Impact on ES & NQ:

Hotter-than-expected CPI (>0.3% m/m, >2.9% y/y):
- Fed may stay hawkish → Market drop → ES -40/60pts, NQ -120/180pts
Weaker-than-expected CPI (<0.3% m/m, <2.9% y/y):
- Fed could turn dovish → Market rally → ES +40/60pts, NQ +120/180pts

🎯 Takeaway:
CPI is the main event. Expect fast volatility at 8:30 AM ET—trade carefully! 🚀

🎯 /NQ – Plan

Bullish Bias: Above 19347, look for longs targeting 19650s > 19826
Bearish Bias: Below 19347, shorts open up toward 19150s > 19050 > 18870.

🎯 /ES – Plan

Bullish Bias: Above 5619, look for longs targeting 5650/5660 area. Push through could see 5700s
Bearish Bias: Below 5573, shorts open up toward 5545 if that breaks 5524 we see 5480 area is next

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Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice, but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions, which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, bonds, and trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. Reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are the courtesy of Think or Swim. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them.

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